GP '11 Wave Forecast by Steve "The Mind"
Waiting....
Later,
Steve "The Mind" Marshall
Date and time
GP '11 Wave Forecast by
GP '11 Wave Forecast by WSI Hurricane Forecast
Outperforming other, primary, public forecasters on named storms by 25%
since 2006, Weather Services International, a Weather Channel company,
predicts 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes (category
3 or greater).
These 2011 forecast numbers are above the long-term (1950-2010)
averages of 12 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes and
match the averages from the more active recent period (1995-2010) of 15
named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes. The current forecast
numbers are not changed from the April forecast.
“Most of the important drivers for tropical activity continue to
indicate that an active season lies ahead of us,” said WSI Chief
Meteorologist Dr. Todd Crawford.
Crawford added, "Since tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures are
quite close to the 1995-2010 average values, and since we do not expect
either an El Nino or La Nina to develop this summer, our statistical
model has output forecast numbers that exactly match those for the
current active 1995-2010 period"
Although WSI does not see activity reaching the historic levels of 2005
and 2010, it does expect a more impactful season in 2011 along the
United States coastline.
GP '11 Wave Forecast by The Weather Channel
2011 Hurricane Season on the Horizon
The Weather Channel
May 20, 2011 4:05 pm ET
The 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season will begin on Wednesday, June 1.
Forecasters have released predictions for another active season ahead.
You can find forecasts from Weather Services International, Colorado
State University and the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration at
the following link.
Forecast: 2011 Hurricane Season
GP '11 Wave Forecast by NOAA
Forecasters
are expecting another active season with between 12 and 18 named
storms, 6 to 10 hurricanes and 3 to 6 major hurricanes.
NOAA cited several climate factors considered for this outlook:
- The continuing high activity
era. Since 1995, the tropical multi-decadal signal has brought ocean
and atmospheric conditions conducive for development in sync, leading
to more active Atlantic hurricane seasons.
- Warm Atlantic Ocean water.
Sea surface temperatures where storms often develop and move across the
Atlantic are up to two degrees Fahrenheit warmer-than-average.
- La Nina, which continues to
weaken in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, is expected to dissipate later
this month or in June, but its impacts such as reduced wind shear are
expected to continue into the hurricane season.
“In addition to multiple
climate factors, seasonal climate models also indicate an above-normal
season is likely, and even suggest we could see activity comparable to
some of the active seasons since 1995,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D.,
lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction
Center.
NOAA
May 19, 2011.
|